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The Gate Room

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  3. The business case for reviving Stargate, in numbers (sourced)

The business case for reviving Stargate, in numbers (sourced)

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  • itshinyken4190I Offline
    itshinyken4190I Offline
    itshinyken4190 Ancient-Alteran
    wrote last edited by itshinyken4190
    #1

    We already have the demand data. The viewership, the petitions, the charting, it is documented and sourced (see The Numbers). The reason it has not moved the decision is not that the numbers are weak. It is that the people who cancelled the show decide on risk and return, not on how much fans love it. So the case has to be made in their terms, not ours. Here is that translation.

    The downside is almost nothing

    A premium sci-fi season runs roughly 80 to 150 million dollars, well under one percent of Amazon's annual content budget, and the writers' room was already finished. Development, the expensive and risky part of making television, is a sunk cost here. The marginal cost to ship what they already built is small. On a risk sheet this is a rounding error, not a liability.

    The demand is revealed, not asserted

    A metrics person discounts fan noise and trusts revealed behavior, money other parties actually spend. Stargate gives them exactly that: SG-1 charted #7 in France during the exact cancellation week, 19 years after it ended, and a competitor, Netflix, paid to re-license all 214 episodes months earlier. That is other companies spending on the audience Amazon calls too small. Source: FlixPatrol.

    The comparable bet already paid off

    "Too niche, only appeals to the existing fanbase" is the exact description of Fallout and The Boys, two of Amazon's biggest recent genre hits. The studio has already proven this kind of bet works. The stated reason for cancelling contradicts their own win record.

    The real number is the opportunity cost

    Amazon paid about 8.45 billion dollars for MGM specifically to own franchises like Stargate. A franchise that still charts and still licenses is an appreciating catalog asset. Leaving it idle is not saving money, it is writing down something they already bought. Source: Forbes.

    The framing that lands

    The argument that reaches a numbers-driven decision-maker is not "save our show." It is this: on your own risk-and-return logic, with development already paid for, measurable live demand, a proven comparable, and an asset you bought sitting idle, the cancellation is the irrational call. We are not asking for a favor. We are pointing out a miscalculation.

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